Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.447147 0.490416 0.537485 0.592744 0.656163 0.727061 0.812858
2025-08-24 0.370559 0.428883 0.497348 0.584702 0.694742 0.830923 1.015733
2025-08-31 0.324242 0.388664 0.468208 0.575693 0.720462 0.913876 1.201407
2025-09-07 0.297740 0.367001 0.456084 0.582335 0.762422 1.019981 1.436826
2025-09-14 0.271175 0.341322 0.434376 0.571214 0.775514 1.084500 1.622256
2025-09-21 0.252752 0.324118 0.421455 0.569516 0.800221 1.168439 1.857557
2025-09-28 0.232604 0.302512 0.399902 0.551972 0.797047 1.205599 2.018107
2025-10-05 0.226246 0.299437 0.404139 0.573158 0.857714 1.360336 2.447328
2025-10-12 0.218939 0.294229 0.404475 0.587823 0.909076 1.508223 2.914923
2025-10-19 0.209262 0.284709 0.397295 0.589179 0.936830 1.616219 3.332886
2025-10-26 0.197212 0.270779 0.382123 0.575431 0.934756 1.663089 3.616061
2025-11-02 0.186012 0.257441 0.366892 0.560040 0.927375 1.697065 3.878778
2025-11-09 0.176355 0.246221 0.354749 0.549780 0.930396 1.758880 4.266789
2025-11-16 0.167754 0.236216 0.343989 0.541169 0.936029 1.829511 4.728052
2025-11-23 0.159993 0.227075 0.333995 0.532944 0.941249 1.900591 5.236983
2025-11-30 0.155461 0.222798 0.331788 0.538901 0.977378 2.058975 6.189895
2025-12-07 0.148531 0.214254 0.321732 0.528904 0.976950 2.120426 6.796175
2025-12-14 0.143542 0.208616 0.316309 0.527377 0.995481 2.240087 7.782600
2025-12-21 0.136636 0.199474 0.304218 0.511589 0.978638 2.252516 8.246274
2025-12-28 0.135616 0.200054 0.309268 0.530652 1.047800 2.548103 10.665753
2026-01-04 0.133725 0.199045 0.311369 0.543830 1.104877 2.827679 13.526740
2026-01-11 0.130256 0.195161 0.307967 0.545048 1.131481 3.012915 16.097157
2026-01-18 0.125170 0.188268 0.298626 0.532695 1.120280 3.056543 17.532451